Adopting the stance of Modigliani & Millar (1961) on
dividend theory the timing of the dividend is deemed irrelevant and dividends
should be paid as an investment residual when all other positive NPV projects
have been invested in. M&M suggested managers should place priority on
investing in good projects which in turn increase share price rather than
worrying about paying out dividends as both options will have the same outcome
in terms of shareholder wealth maximisation. However their theory was based on
numerous assumptions including that there is no tax, no transaction costs and
that interest rates remain constant, which unfortunately is not the case in
reality!
For investors a dividend is often used as an indicator of
how well a company is doing, which before this week I thought to be an
appropriate measure. However after this week’s lecture it was highlighted that
dividends must merely be paid out of residual profits. It does not state that
these profits have to have been yielded in this year. Therefore a company in
financial difficulty could still pay out a large dividend to its shareholders
from residual profits made in previous years when the company was prospering
and so disguising the current financial position of the company.
Linking in with my pervious blog on the global financial crisis
companies often choose to suspend dividends in times of financial strain or
uncertainty. Recently Thomas Cook announced that it would be suspending its
dividend payments as it works to ‘rebuild the balance sheet’ (BBC, 2011).
Another company struggling to cope in the recession is Mothercare, with store
closures, job losses and now the suspension of its dividend (The Telegraph,
2012).
Apple has announced plans to pay its first dividend since
1995 to put to use some of its $95 billion cash pile (BBC, 2012). This is
perhaps an example of how M&M suggested that the timing of the dividend is
irrelevant as even though Apple has never paid a dividend until now I would
still consider the company as being successful.
An alternate view by Linter (1956) uses the ‘bird in hand’
theory to argue dividend relevance. He suggested that investors prefer to receive
a dividend rather than having the uncertainty of whether the company has
invested their money into positive investments. In this view not paying
dividends will lead to a destruction of shareholder wealth as shareholders will
no longer purchase their shares and share price will decrease.
In conclusion, it would seem from a company perspective dividends
are regarded as relevant as firms spend much time deciding on the level of
dividend they pay out. From the theory discussed this week it would seem stable
dividends are what companies aim for, this is often due to high dividends being
unsustainable in the long run and for fear of losing investors’ confidence if
dividends are set too low.